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Expecting and Accepting the Unexpected
Preparation over unreasonable avoidance

Intro
What are we ignoring today that will seem shockingly obvious in the future?
Question taken from Same as Ever, by Morgan Housel


The Story
Looking at the movies, War Games, 1984, Terminator, Wall-E, The Lorax, and Jurassic Park—we’re seeing the outcomes now and soon to be, of what the future they were seeing. They were not making up some wild story or farfetched fantasy—they were predicting it. They were telling us what was going to happen. These weren’t farfetched, out of this world, crazy ideas. They were telling us. They showed us that this is where we’re headed. Some may knew it, some may thought it was unlikely, but they dreamed of worlds that once were not possible, but in many cases are becoming our reality.
When we create new technology and new ways of doing things, we often ignore what we already know that could have a high possibility of occurring, and we focus on all the benefits and additives, not the risks. These books, movies music are telling us exactly what to look out for because history, technology, and people have shown this. This is worth seeing what these authors, musicians, writers, and producers are showing us, and what can be extrapolated from the current works and in history, but we often choose to ignore it.
Why is it? Are we more optimistic than we think or are we hesitant investing in risks that seem far-fetched today, but they’re actually highly likely at some level. Do you think most people would’ve thought you could fire a missile from a drone 5000 miles away while sitting in a control room with a joystick like a video game? We’re often playing real life video games and we don’t even know it. We are crafting the future based on what we innovate, based on the stories we tell, based on history and technological evolution, but our hearts and minds are still telling us what we need to look out for five, ten, twenty, or thirty years ago.
How many times have you caught yourself thinking about how things were in the past versus the current way of actually doing things, or how many times you have considered needing something, instead of using your phone to do something you go to look for a calculator, get on your laptop. You go to some kind of old-school way of doing it, the longer less efficient way, or more expensive way of doing it, versus just using your phone that can do most things you need to do. We all take varying times to learn and for most people the older we get the more we stay stuck in how things were, in that way of thinking, that way of talking with people, working, and getting things done.
I am interested on that last point about getting things done as that is the source of happiness for so many people. Few would admit it, but many of us really enjoy the tedious mundane repeatable tasks that are highly automated in a lot of cases today. That’s what scares a lot of people about AI And technology in general—they know it’s going to remove excuses and make them focus on what matters. AI and tech make you more efficient. More focused. If you use them correctly and many companies will figure that out. But that also means people will have to operate in more of an efficient focused manner, and that scares the shit out of them. People get scared more by the concept of their behavior being changed versus their job being taken away people. People don’t like to be exposed for what they really are.
When you look at workers across the United States and globally those who excel are comfortable with being exposed, getting feedback, learning, and showing how little they actually know, whereas the majority would rather sulk in the status quo and comfort of where they are. There are a lot of learnings in that concept on how technology really impacts our way of thinking and doing things. And really informs our fear-based mentality for anything that’s new. Thomas Watson, Henry Ford Alexander Graham Bell, J. Robert Oppenheimer, Steve Jobs, Michael Dell, Jeff Bezos, Howard Schultz, Ray Kroc, Bill Gates, or Elon Musk. They invented a new world by not caring what the short term and limited mindset was. Their entire business was based off of looking beyond today’s current realities, people‘s wishes and desires, and what they think they need. These titans look beyond one, three, five, ten, twenty years into what’s coming, not into what we already know. So, while human nature continues to be the same as ever and always will be, these individuals took that principal to a new level.
How will people continue with same as ever, yet technology changed to serve that function. I didn’t read the book, Same as Ever for sometime. It didn’t seem exciting. Seemed like just another book, even after hearing about how successful Morgan Housel was with The Psychology of Money, Same as Ever seemed like a flyover. I think the concepts that it talks about are actually an education on human nature, people, and can really form your perspective on how you look at things, how you act, how you make decisions, how you look at risk, how you look at rewards, and actually tell us more about what we should be preparing for and focusing on in our world. This is versus being fearful of the risk we don’t know, which is always there. Same as Ever is a brave and interesting follow up to The Psychology of Money. Morgan could’ve easily gone with the Psychology of Work or the Psychology of Life, continuing the series. He could’ve easily done it, but I think he chose the harder path, when he chose a prequel or sorts. People need the more fundamental level. People need to see how we all act, fake, and what we should actually be focused on, versus the big bets we all try to guess in some way.
This book really provided a lot of perspective on how people really act and think, and evolve, and how we don’t. All really showed us what really matters in understanding humans and how to work with them. Morgan showed us across business, tech, people, work, history, conflict, of what is Same as Ever.

Closing
This book really provided significant perspective on how people really act, think, and evolve, and also on how we don’t. Housel showed us what really matters in understanding humans and how to work with history, and he showed us across business, tech, people, work, history, that conflict and what is Same as Ever.
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"Twenty years from now, you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn't do than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe harbor. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover."
- Mark Twain

About the Author, Graham Peelle

